Andhra Pradesh’s 175 Assembly seats and 25 Lok Sabha seats went to polls on Monday (May 13th). It is going to take at least 24 hours from the conclusion of the polling in AP for the final voter turnout figure to be declared officially by the Election Commission. Till then, everything will be in the zone of speculation.
Experts and political commentators have been coming out with their own theories in the meantime. As per ‘Aara’ Mastan, one of the few pollsters with a very good track record about reading the voter mind in AP, there will be a change of guard (that is, the victory of the TDP-led NDA) if the turnout is even 1% higher than what it was in 2019. If not, Jagan Mohan Reddy will secure a second term.
Both TDP and YSRCP supporters have had their own reasons to believe that the result will be in favour of the parties they favour. However, it is likely that the contest is really tight. If it is a tight contest, it means that the women voter didn’t decidedly show bias in favour of either side. The split was even.
In Telangana, where 17 Lok Sabha seats are at stake, the results could be scintillating for the BJP. Many commentators are now convinced that the BJP could win at least 10-12 seats. Ground reports say that the BRS was not in the picture at all. If true, the contest was purely between Congress and BJP in Telangana. If this happens, the results could be a shocker for Chief Minister Revanth Reddy.
However, the behaviour of some BJP leaders from Telangana doesn’t suggest that the saffron party is totally confident. Madhavi Latha Kompella, the Hyderabad BJP candidate, has not stopped accusing Owaisi of resorting to rigging. She is sure to lose the election.
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